Champions League

Champions League | Group Stage

Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK

Anfield

Liverpool
2 - 0
Porto

Alcantara (52'), Salah (70')
Konate (29'), Milner (88')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Uribe (40'), Mbemba (75')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Porto had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Porto win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
Liverpool	Draw	Porto
57.6%	24.96%	17.44%

Both teams to score 42.04%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.6%

58.4%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.99%

79%

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73%

20.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38%

52.62%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.73%

47.27%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.31%

82.69%

Score Analysis

Liverpool 57.6%

Porto 17.44%

Draw 24.95%

Liverpool	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 15.29% 2-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 9.14% 3-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 4.87% 4-0 @ 2.59% 4-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.25% Total : 57.6%	1-1 @ 11.45% 0-0 @ 9.58% 2-2 @ 3.43% Other @ 0.49% Total : 24.95%	0-1 @ 7.18% 1-2 @ 4.29% 0-2 @ 2.69% 1-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.2% Total : 17.44%