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Premier League | Gameweek 12
Nov 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK
Anfield
Arsenal logo

Liverpool
4 - 0
Arsenal

Mane (39'), Jota (52'), Salah (73'), Minamino (77')
Klopp (33'), Mane (44'), Fabinho (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Arteta (33')

The Match

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Arsenal.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Liverpool and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Liverpool at Anfield.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Arsenal on Saturday.
One of the standout fixtures of the Premier League season will take place on Saturday evening when Liverpool welcome Arsenal to Anfield. Just one place and two points separate the two sides in the table, with Liverpool sitting fourth and Arsenal fifth after 11 games of the campaign.

Match preview

At the end of August, one would have been given long odds for Arsenal having the chance to leapfrog Liverpool in the table when the two sides met in gameweek 12. At that stage, the Gunners sat rock-bottom having lost all three of their games, conceding nine times without registering once themselves in the process, while Liverpool had taken seven points from a possible nine and conceded only once. Fast forward to the present day and the Premier League picture has changed significantly; for Liverpool, that is largely down to a two-game winless streak before the international break, including their first defeat of the season last time out. A 3-2 loss to West Ham United on November 7 ended their 20-game unbeaten streak in the top flight, and a 25-game undefeated run across all competitions which stretched back to April. The 2-2 draw with Brighton & Hove Albion which preceded the West Ham defeat was also a major blow as Jurgen Klopp's side threw away a two-goal lead, with those two results leaving the Reds now four points adrift of leaders Chelsea. It is by no means panic stations for Klopp and co just yet - they are after all still the league's highest scorers, while only Chelsea and Manchester City can boast better defensive records - but there have been one or two worrying signs in recent weeks, which was not the case in the earlier stages of the campaign. An immediate return to winning ways is imperative for Liverpool then, and the fact that they have already secured top spot in a difficult Champions League group means that they can pay Saturday's showdown their full attention, rather than having one eye on Porto's visit on Wednesday. That is particularly important considering Liverpool's growing injury concerns, which were exacerbated during the international break. The Merseysiders do now have three home games in a row before the short trip to Goodison Park for the derby on December 1, which will come as welcome news for a team unbeaten in their last 13 games at Anfield, including nine in the Premier League. Klopp's men have dropped points from winning positions in their last two such matches, though - consecutive 2-2 draws with Man City and Brighton - while they have only won two of their five home league games so far this season, drawing the other three. That should give Arsenal confidence for the trip up to Anfield, although they are unlikely to need any more of that given their fine form heading into the international break. Liverpool's defeat at West Ham means that the Gunners now boast the longest current unbeaten run in the Premier League, taking 20 points from the 24 on offer since those three defeats to start the season. The eight-game run makes for Arsenal's longest undefeated streak since December 2018, while in all competitions that record improves to eight wins and two draws from their last 10. Mikel Arteta's side have kept seven clean sheets in that time too, including three in a row before the break, and in their last 10 games combined they have conceded fewer goals than they did in their 5-0 defeat at Man City before this current run began. All of that has catapulted Arsenal right back into the top-four race, and despite still only having a goal difference of 0 - 20 worse than Saturday's opponents - a victory at the weekend would be enough to lift them into the Champions League places for the first time since October 2020. The main concern for the Gunners this weekend may well be their record against Liverpool in recent seasons; Liverpool have lost just one of their 11 Premier League meetings with Arsenal since Klopp took charge, winning seven of those. Most of those wins have been convincing too, particularly at Anfield, where Liverpool have won five on the bounce against Arsenal, scoring at least three times in all of those matches. You have to go back to September 1981 to January 1988 for the last time Liverpool had a longer winning run at home to Arsenal in the top flight, with the styles of both teams playing into Klopp's hands far more often than they have Arsenal's in recent years. That said, Arsenal have kept a clean sheet in six of their last nine top-flight away games, including three in a row, and another on Saturday would be their best run since May 2005. Arteta's side now look like a much more organised outfit than the one that was humiliated by Man City on matchday three, and this weekend's trip to Anfield will give them the perfect opportunity to show just how far they have come in that time.
Liverpool Premier League form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
Liverpool form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
Arsenal Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
Arsenal form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Team News

Liverpool suffered a torrid international break as key men Jordan Henderson, Andrew Robertson and Sadio Mane all picked up injuries for their national teams. Klopp has since confirmed that Mane will be fit for Arsenal's visit, while Robertson is also expected to be in contention, but Henderson is a bigger doubt and will be assessed ahead of kickoff. Divock Origi suffered a dead leg for Belgium but could also recover in time, although Liverpool will still be without at least six first-team players. Saturday's match will come too soon for Roberto Firmino, Joe Gomez, James Milner, Naby Keita, Curtis Jones and Harvey Elliott, all of whom remain sidelined through injury. The Premier League's top scorer Mohamed Salah is expected to start again, though, and he will look to add to his prolific record of seven goals and two assists in nine top-flight meetings with the Gunners. Arsenal have been handed a major boost with the news that Thomas Partey should be fit for selection, with the midfielder expected to come straight back in in the middle of the park. Folarin Balogun is also available, leaving Granit Xhaka and Sead Kolasinac as the only players missing for Arteta this weekend. The Spaniard is unlikely to make many changes to his starting XI from the win over Watford last time out, which means starts again for both Alexandre Lacazette and Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, while the likes of Nicolas Pepe, Bernd Leno, Martin Odegaard and Gabriel Martinelli may have to settle for a place on the bench once more. Kieran Tierney will be hopeful of regaining his starting spot, though, having been an unused sub last time out. Liverpool possible starting lineup: Alisson; Alexander-Arnold, Matip, Van Dijk, Robertson; Oxlade-Chamberlain, Fabinho, Thiago; Salah, Jota, Mane Arsenal possible starting lineup: Ramsdale; Tomiyasu, White, Gabriel, Tierney; Saka, Thomas, Lokonga, Smith Rowe; Lacazette; Aubameyang

We said: Liverpool 3-1 Arsenal

Arsenal fans will not have always been confident travelling to Anfield in recent years given their poor record against the Reds, but this time around they are in fine form and may fancy their chances of picking up a result. However, this fixture always seems to suit itself well to Klopp's Liverpool, and the league's leading scorers usually help themselves to a few goals against Arsenal too. The Gunners do have the weapons to hurt a Liverpool defence which looked a little shaky before the international break, but we are backing the hosts to return to winning ways this weekend, particularly as their injury troubles do not look quite as bad as first feared.
Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 62.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 16.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.96%), while for an Arsenal win it was 0-1 (5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
62.44%20.99%16.56%
Both teams to score 51.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.57%44.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19%66.81%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.36%13.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.18%40.82%
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.96%40.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.31%76.69%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 62.43%
    Arsenal 16.56%
    Draw 20.99%
LiverpoolDrawArsenal
1-0 @ 10.88%
2-0 @ 10.83%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 7.2%
3-1 @ 6.59%
4-0 @ 3.58%
4-1 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 3.01%
4-2 @ 1.5%
5-0 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.31%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 62.43%
1-1 @ 9.96%
0-0 @ 5.46%
2-2 @ 4.54%
3-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 20.99%
0-1 @ 5%
1-2 @ 4.56%
0-2 @ 2.29%
1-3 @ 1.39%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 16.56%

How you voted: Liverpool vs Arsenal

Liverpool
57.2%
Draw
16.3%
Arsenal
26.4%
484
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 30
Arsenal
0-3
Liverpool

Magalhaes (90+1')
Jota (64', 82'), Salah (68')
Jota (73')
Oct 1, 2020 7.45pm
Fourth Round
Liverpool
0-0
Arsenal
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
Minamino (15'), Wilson (75')
Xhaka (51'), Soares (90+2')
Sep 28, 2020 8pm
Gameweek 3
Liverpool
3-1
Arsenal
Mane (28'), Robertson (34'), Jota (88')
Mane (3'), Alexander-Arnold (49')
Lacazette (25')
Bellerin (68'), Ceballos (72')
Aug 29, 2020 4.30pm
Final
Arsenal
1-1
Liverpool
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties
Minamino (73')
Milner (57')
Jul 15, 2020 8.15pm
Build-up
Andy Robertson goes down injured for Scotland in November 2021
Jurgen Klopp confirms 'late decisions' over Jordan Henderson, Andy Robertson
Jurgen Klopp confirms that Andy Robertson and Jordan Henderson are facing late fitness tests for Liverpool's Premier League encounter with Arsenal, but Sadio Mane is fit.
Nov 19, 13:20
Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang pictured in October 2021
Mikel Arteta provides update on Aubameyang, Partey injuries
Mikel Arteta refuses to confirm that Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Thomas Partey will be involved in Arsenal's Premier League clash with Liverpool.
Nov 19, 09:18
Emile Smith Rowe celebrates scoring for Arsenal against Watford on November 7, 2021
How Arsenal could line up against Liverpool
Sports Mole looks at how Arsenal could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Liverpool at Anfield.
Nov 18, 18:51
Liverpool's Sadio Mane celebrates scoring their first goal on September 18, 2021
How Liverpool could line up against Arsenal
Sports Mole looks at how an injury-hit Liverpool squad could line up for Saturday's Premier League showdown with Arsenal at Anfield.
Nov 18, 18:41
Arsenal's Thomas Partey pictured in October 2021
Arsenal's Thomas Partey passed fit for Liverpool clash
Arsenal midfielder Thomas Partey is fit and available for Saturday's Premier League game with Liverpool after shaking off a groin problem.
Nov 18, 17:53
Egypt attacker Mohamed Salah pictured in November 2021
Mohamed Salah's record vs. Arsenal
Ahead of Liverpool's Premier League clash with Arsenal on Saturday, Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at Mohamed Salah's record against the Gunners.
Nov 18, 12:45
Arsenal's Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang pictured on October 30, 2021
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang trains with Arsenal after injury scare
Arsenal forward Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang trains with the Gunners ahead of their trip to face Liverpool on Saturday, after returning from international duty early.
Nov 17, 18:00
Andy Robertson goes down injured for Scotland in November 2021
Liverpool's Andy Robertson '50-50 for Arsenal game'
Liverpool's Andy Robertson has a 50-50 chance of being passed fit for Saturday's Premier League game with Arsenal, according to a report.
Nov 17, 14:33
Andrew Robertson in action for Scotland in October 2020
Liverpool team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Arsenal
Sports Mole rounds up all of Liverpool's latest injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Arsenal on Saturday.
Nov 17, 11:36
Arsenal's Thomas Partey pictured in October 2021
Arsenal team news: Injury, suspension list vs. Liverpool
Sports Mole rounds up all of Arsenal's injury and suspension news ahead of their Premier League clash with Liverpool on Saturday.
Nov 17, 11:19
Liverpool captain Jordan Henderson pictured in August 2021
Liverpool handed triple fitness boost ahead of Arsenal game?
Liverpool are seemingly handed a triple fitness boost ahead of Saturday's Premier League fixture against Arsenal.
Nov 16, 18:01
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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