Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 44.7%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.84%) and 1-2 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Brighton & Hove Albion win it was 1-0 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
| 27.4% | 27.9% | 44.7% |
| Both teams to score 45.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% | 80.2% |
| Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.01% | 37.99% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.24% | 74.76% |
| Arsenal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.26% | 26.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.99% | 62% |
| Score Analysis |
| Brighton & Hove Albion | Draw | Arsenal |
| 1-0 @ 9.83% 2-1 @ 6.28% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.03% 3-0 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.34% Other @ 1.64% Total : 27.4% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 4.14% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 13.39% 0-2 @ 8.84% 1-2 @ 8.55% 0-3 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 1.82% 0-4 @ 1.28% 1-4 @ 1.24% Other @ 1.92% Total : 44.69% |