Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 28, 2021 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio do Dragão

Porto
2 - 1
Guimaraes

Diaz (39'), Evanilson (60')
Sanusi (34'), Oliveira (45+4'), Wendell (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Edwards (36' pen.)
Amaro (11'), Handel (42'), Mumin (45+3'), Sacko (79'), Semedo (85')
Mumin (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Vitoria de Guimaraes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 70.43%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 11.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.41%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.64%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 0-1 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
70.43%	18.16%	11.41%

Both teams to score 47.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.8%

43.2%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.4%

65.6%

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96%

11.04%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.64%

35.36%

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.09%

46.91%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.58%

82.42%

Score Analysis

Porto 70.43%

Vitoria de Guimaraes 11.41%

Draw 18.16%

Porto	Draw	Vitoria de Guimaraes
2-0 @ 12.57% 1-0 @ 11.41% 2-1 @ 9.52% 3-0 @ 9.24% 3-1 @ 6.99% 4-0 @ 5.09% 4-1 @ 3.85% 3-2 @ 2.65% 5-0 @ 2.24% 5-1 @ 1.7% 4-2 @ 1.46% Other @ 3.7% Total : 70.43%	1-1 @ 8.64% 0-0 @ 5.18% 2-2 @ 3.6% Other @ 0.74% Total : 18.16%	0-1 @ 3.92% 1-2 @ 3.27% 0-2 @ 1.48% 2-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.83% Total : 11.41%