Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Nov 6, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Portimonense
2 - 0
Belenenses

Nakajima (10'), Sa (83')
Imbula (25'), Pedrao (54'), Possignolo (63'), Boa Morte (73'), Portugal (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sousa (2'), Akas (12'), Phete (79'), Sousa (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 49.05%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.11%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Belenenses
49.05%	29.1%	21.85%

Both teams to score 38.14%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.19%

66.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.87%

85.13%

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.22%

27.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.64%

63.36%

Belenenses Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.81%

47.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.37%

82.63%

Score Analysis

Portimonense 49.05%

Belenenses 21.85%

Draw 29.1%

Portimonense	Draw	Belenenses
1-0 @ 16.79% 2-0 @ 10.75% 2-1 @ 8.08% 3-0 @ 4.59% 3-1 @ 3.45% 4-0 @ 1.47% 3-2 @ 1.3% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.52% Total : 49.05%	0-0 @ 13.11% 1-1 @ 12.61% 2-2 @ 3.03% Other @ 0.34% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 9.85% 1-2 @ 4.74% 0-2 @ 3.7% 1-3 @ 1.19% 0-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.46% Total : 21.85%

Portimonense2 - 0Belenenses

The Match

Preview

Data Analysis

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Portimonense
2 - 0
Belenenses