Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.6%. A draw had a probability of 29.8% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 28.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.31%), while for a Belenenses win it was 1-0 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 28.65% | 29.75% | 41.6% |
| Both teams to score 41.37% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.65% | 65.34% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 15.87% | 84.13% |
| Belenenses Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.02% | 39.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.36% | 76.63% |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.93% | 31.06% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.62% | 67.38% |
| Score Analysis |
| Belenenses | Draw | Santa Clara |
| 1-0 @ 11.38% 2-1 @ 6.1% 2-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-0 @ 1.6% 3-2 @ 1.09% Other @ 1.39% Total : 28.64% | 1-1 @ 13.31% 0-0 @ 12.42% 2-2 @ 3.57% Other @ 0.45% Total : 29.75% | 0-1 @ 14.52% 0-2 @ 8.49% 1-2 @ 7.78% 0-3 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 3.03% 2-3 @ 1.39% 0-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.11% Total : 41.6% |