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La Liga | Gameweek 17
Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Sevilla logo

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla


Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
27.07%27.45%45.48%
Both teams to score 46.44%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.45%58.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88%79.12%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5%37.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72%74.27%
Sevilla Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.3%25.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.38%60.61%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 27.07%
    Sevilla 45.48%
    Draw 27.45%
Athletic BilbaoDrawSevilla
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-1 @ 6.3%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 2.06%
3-0 @ 1.52%
3-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 27.07%
1-1 @ 12.84%
0-0 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.28%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.45%
0-1 @ 13.09%
0-2 @ 8.89%
1-2 @ 8.73%
0-3 @ 4.03%
1-3 @ 3.95%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-4 @ 1.37%
1-4 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 45.48%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Sevilla

Athletic Bilbao
26.6%
Draw
27.5%
Sevilla
45.9%
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