Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 27.07% | 27.45% | 45.48% |
| Both teams to score 46.44% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% | 58.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% | 79.12% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.5% | 37.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.72% | 74.27% |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.3% | 25.7% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.38% | 60.61% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.07% | 1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.45% | 0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.48% |