La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 22

Jan 23, 2022 at 8pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
0 - 1
Barcelona

FT(HT: 0-0)

de Jong (87')

Reaction

Barcelona's Pedri pictured on September 14, 2021

Xavi hails "marvellous" Pedri for display against Alaves

Barcelona manager Xavi hails teenage midfielder Pedri for his performance in Sunday's 1-0 win over Alaves in La Liga.

Jan 24, 09:55

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.12%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 16.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.35%) and 1-2 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Barcelona.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
16.83%	22.05%	61.12%

Both teams to score 48.98%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.54%

48.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.4%

70.6%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.87%

42.13%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.46%

78.55%

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63%

15.38%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.84%

44.17%

Score Analysis

Alaves 16.83%

Barcelona 61.11%

Draw 22.05%

Alaves	Draw	Barcelona
1-0 @ 5.6% 2-1 @ 4.53% 2-0 @ 2.42% 3-1 @ 1.31% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.75% Total : 16.83%	1-1 @ 10.48% 0-0 @ 6.48% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.85% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 12.12% 0-2 @ 11.35% 1-2 @ 9.82% 0-3 @ 7.09% 1-3 @ 6.13% 0-4 @ 3.32% 1-4 @ 2.87% 2-3 @ 2.65% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.24% 1-5 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.22% Total : 61.11%