Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 53.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.42%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Barcelona in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
| 21.39% | 25.09% | 53.52% |
| Both teams to score 47.51% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.65% | 54.35% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.27% | 75.73% |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.6% | 40.4% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.99% | 77.01% |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.71% | 20.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.34% | 52.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 7.43% 2-1 @ 5.37% 2-0 @ 3.37% 3-1 @ 1.62% 3-2 @ 1.29% 3-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.28% Total : 21.39% | 1-1 @ 11.85% 0-0 @ 8.2% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.09% | 0-1 @ 13.07% 0-2 @ 10.42% 1-2 @ 9.45% 0-3 @ 5.54% 1-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-4 @ 2.21% 1-4 @ 2% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.61% Total : 53.51% |