Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 55.22%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Espanyol win it was 2-1 (5.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.