Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 44.03%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%).