Copa del Rey
Jan 6, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud
  • goal Nico Williams 20'
  • goal Nico Williams 43'

Mancha Real vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mancha Real

Athletic Bilbao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.31%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Mancha Real had a probability of 11.25%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (14.42%) and 0-3 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Mancha Real win it was 1-0 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result

Mancha Real 11.25%
Draw 20.44%
Athletic Bilbao 68.31%

Both Teams to Score: 

39.83%

Goals

Over 2.5 46.99%
Under 2.5 53.01%
Over 3.5 25.4%
Under 3.5 74.6%

Mancha Real Goals

Over 0.5 46.63%
Under 0.5 53.37%
Over 1.5 13.12%
Under 1.5 86.88%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5 85.43%
Under 0.5 14.58%
Over 1.5 57.36%
Under 1.5 42.64%

Score analysis

Mancha Real 11.25%
Draw 20.44%
Athletic Bilbao 68.3%
Mancha Real
1-0 @ 4.89%
2-1 @ 2.95%
2-0 @ 1.53%
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 11.25%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.41%
0-0 @ 7.78%
2-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 0.41%
Total : 20.44%
Athletic Bilbao
0-1 @ 14.98%
0-2 @ 14.42%
0-3 @ 9.26%
1-2 @ 9.06%
1-3 @ 5.82%
0-4 @ 4.46%
1-4 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 1.83%
0-5 @ 1.72%
1-5 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 68.3%