La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 18

Dec 19, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Real Betis

Williams (2', 72'), de Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Real Betis, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
32.13%	25.76%	42.1%

Both teams to score 54.15%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.11%

49.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.11%

71.88%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.8%

29.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.86%

65.13%

Real Betis Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.47%

23.52%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.43%

57.56%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 32.13%

Real Betis 42.1%

Draw 25.76%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Real Betis
1-0 @ 8.45% 2-1 @ 7.53% 2-0 @ 5.21% 3-1 @ 3.09% 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 2.14% 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.53% Total : 32.13%	1-1 @ 12.23% 0-0 @ 6.87% 2-2 @ 5.45% 3-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.76%	0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.19% 1-3 @ 4.27% 0-3 @ 3.47% 2-3 @ 2.63% 1-4 @ 1.55% 0-4 @ 1.26% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 2% Total : 42.1%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Real Betis

Athletic Bilbao

22.9%

Draw

22.0%

Real Betis

55.1%