Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 37.36% | 29.95% | 32.68% |
| Both teams to score 42.08% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 34.91% | 65.09% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.05% | 83.95% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% | 70.15% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.29% | 36.71% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.5% | 73.5% |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 13.44% 2-1 @ 7.37% 2-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 2.69% 3-0 @ 2.68% 3-2 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.49% Total : 37.35% | 1-1 @ 13.47% 0-0 @ 12.3% 2-2 @ 3.69% Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.94% | 0-1 @ 12.32% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 6.18% 1-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 2.06% 2-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.87% Total : 32.67% |