Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.7%) and 2-1 (7.22%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (12.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Getafe would win this match.