Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.14%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 54.02% | 25.84% | 20.14% |
| Both teams to score 43.84% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.69% | 58.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.07% | 78.93% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.31% | 21.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.16% | 54.84% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.98% | 44.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.86% | 80.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Granada |
| 1-0 @ 14.59% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.66% 4-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.02% | 1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.14% |