Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 23.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (8.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 49.51% | 27.17% | 23.33% |
| Both teams to score 44.11% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.05% | 59.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% | 80.2% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% | 24.39% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.2% | 58.8% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.34% | 41.66% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.86% | 78.14% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 14.33% 2-0 @ 10.11% 2-1 @ 8.86% 3-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-0 @ 1.68% 4-1 @ 1.47% Other @ 2.3% Total : 49.5% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 3.88% Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 8.9% 1-2 @ 5.5% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.6% 0-3 @ 1.14% 2-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 1.17% Total : 23.33% |