Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.71%) and 0-2 (8.29%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 1-0 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 29% | 27.2% | 43.8% |
| Both teams to score 48.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.24% | 56.76% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.3% | 77.7% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.03% | 34.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.29% | 71.71% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.27% | 25.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.34% | 60.66% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.74% 2-0 @ 4.97% 3-1 @ 2.36% 3-0 @ 1.74% 3-2 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.13% Total : 29% | 1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 9% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.2% | 0-1 @ 12.21% 1-2 @ 8.71% 0-2 @ 8.29% 1-3 @ 3.94% 0-3 @ 3.75% 2-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 1.34% 0-4 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.21% Total : 43.79% |