Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 21, 2021 at 8pm UK

Merkur Arena

Sturm Graz
0 - 1
Real Sociedad

Gorenc Stankovic (59')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Isak (69')
Gorosabel (24'), Merino (26'), Zubeldia (60'), Guevara (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Sturm Graz and Real Sociedad, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 40%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.67%) and 2-0 (5.95%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-2 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result
Sturm Graz	Draw	Real Sociedad
40%	24.23%	35.77%

Both teams to score 60.43%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.85%

42.15%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.45%

64.55%

Sturm Graz Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.82%

21.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.95%

54.06%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.67%

23.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.72%

57.28%

Score Analysis

Sturm Graz 40%

Real Sociedad 35.77%

Draw 24.23%

Sturm Graz	Draw	Real Sociedad
2-1 @ 8.66% 1-0 @ 7.67% 2-0 @ 5.95% 3-1 @ 4.48% 3-2 @ 3.26% 3-0 @ 3.08% 4-1 @ 1.74% 4-2 @ 1.27% 4-0 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.7% Total : 40%	1-1 @ 11.16% 2-2 @ 6.3% 0-0 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 1.58% Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.23%	1-2 @ 8.12% 0-1 @ 7.19% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 3.94% 2-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.54% 1-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.11% 0-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.2% Total : 35.77%