Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 40.71%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.17% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.23%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 40.71% | 28.12% | 31.17% |
| Both teams to score 46.64% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.69% | 59.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.29% | 79.71% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.42% | 28.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% | 64.37% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.3% | 34.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.58% | 71.42% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 12.41% 2-1 @ 8.23% 2-0 @ 7.78% 3-1 @ 3.44% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 1.82% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-0 @ 1.02% Other @ 1.69% Total : 40.7% | 1-1 @ 13.14% 0-0 @ 9.92% 2-2 @ 4.36% Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.11% | 0-1 @ 10.49% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 2.46% 0-3 @ 1.96% 2-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 2.2% Total : 31.16% |