La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

El Sadar

Osasuna
1 - 3
Athletic Bilbao

Kike (10')
Angel (66'), Arrasate (67'), Torro (76'), Herrera (78'), Avila (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Sancet (16', 25', 68')
Alvarez (66'), Martinez (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Osasuna and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 35.98%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 33.79% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.13%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (12.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
33.79%	30.23%	35.98%

Both teams to score 41.49%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

34.14%

65.85%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

15.52%

84.48%

Osasuna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.66%

36.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.88%

73.12%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.17%

34.83%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43%

71.56%

Score Analysis

Osasuna 33.79%

Athletic Bilbao 35.97%

Draw 30.23%

Osasuna	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 12.81% 2-1 @ 6.84% 2-0 @ 6.49% 3-1 @ 2.31% 3-0 @ 2.19% 3-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.94% Total : 33.79%	1-1 @ 13.51% 0-0 @ 12.65% 2-2 @ 3.61% Other @ 0.46% Total : 30.23%	0-1 @ 13.34% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-2 @ 7.04% 1-3 @ 2.51% 0-3 @ 2.48% 2-3 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.22% Total : 35.97%

How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao

Osasuna

32.4%

Draw

33.1%

Athletic Bilbao

34.5%