Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 24.06% | 27.65% | 48.28% |
| Both teams to score 43.56% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.96% | 61.04% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.98% | 81.02% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.42% | 41.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.93% | 78.06% |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.55% | 25.45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.72% | 60.28% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
| 1-0 @ 9.29% 2-1 @ 5.58% 2-0 @ 4.08% 3-1 @ 1.63% 3-0 @ 1.19% 3-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.19% Total : 24.06% | 1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 10.58% 2-2 @ 3.82% Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 14.47% 0-2 @ 9.91% 1-2 @ 8.7% 0-3 @ 4.52% 1-3 @ 3.97% 2-3 @ 1.74% 0-4 @ 1.55% 1-4 @ 1.36% Other @ 2.07% Total : 48.27% |