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La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 9, 2022 at 5.30pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Athletic Bilbao logo

Alaves
0 - 0
Athletic Bilbao


Lejeune (26'), Duarte (61')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Alaves 1-2 Athletic Bilbao

Athletic's recent form has been impressive, and they beat Alaves 1-0 in the reverse match at San Mames earlier this season. We are expecting this to be a tight fixture, as Athletic have only won twice on their travels in the league this season, but the visitors should have enough quality to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.28%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 24.06%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.7%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
24.06%27.65%48.28%
Both teams to score 43.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.96%61.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.98%81.02%
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.42%41.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.93%78.06%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.55%25.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.72%60.28%
Score Analysis
    Alaves 24.06%
    Athletic Bilbao 48.27%
    Draw 27.65%
AlavesDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 9.29%
2-1 @ 5.58%
2-0 @ 4.08%
3-1 @ 1.63%
3-0 @ 1.19%
3-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 24.06%
1-1 @ 12.7%
0-0 @ 10.58%
2-2 @ 3.82%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 27.65%
0-1 @ 14.47%
0-2 @ 9.91%
1-2 @ 8.7%
0-3 @ 4.52%
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 1.74%
0-4 @ 1.55%
1-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 48.27%

How you voted: Alaves vs Athletic Bilbao

Alaves
22.1%
Draw
16.2%
Athletic Bilbao
61.8%
68
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 8
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Alaves
Garcia (44')
Vencedor (38'), Berenguer (40'), Garcia (73')

Navarro (8'), Pina (84')
Apr 10, 2021 3.15pm
Gameweek 30
Athletic Bilbao
0-0
Alaves
Vesga (2'), Capa (90+1')
Lejeune (46'), Garcia (90+2')
Oct 4, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 5
Alaves
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Ely (74')
Duarte (85')
Duarte (86')

Garcia (19'), Nunez (62'), Martinez (64')
Feb 23, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 25
Alaves
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Perez (28' pen.), Ely (90')
Navarro (31'), Aguirregabiria (33'), Ely (52'), Pons (86')
Garcia (17')
Capa (20'), Nunez (26'), Garcia (31'), Martinez (31')
Sep 22, 2019 5.30pm
Gameweek 5
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Alaves
Garcia (38' pen.), Muniain (72')
Simon (86')

Ely (7'), Vidal (15'), Duarte (37'), Laguardia (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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