Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Granada win with a probability of 37.22%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Granada win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.69%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Alaves win was 0-1 (11.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Granada in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Granada.
| Result | ||
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 37.22% | 28.79% | 33.99% |
| Both teams to score 45.39% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.84% | 61.16% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.89% | 81.11% |
| Granada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.43% | 31.57% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.03% | 67.97% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.32% | 33.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.67% | 70.33% |
| Score Analysis |
| Granada | Draw | Alaves |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% 2-1 @ 7.69% 2-0 @ 7.07% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.72% 3-2 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.92% Total : 37.21% | 1-1 @ 13.34% 0-0 @ 10.63% 2-2 @ 4.19% Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 11.57% 1-2 @ 7.26% 0-2 @ 6.3% 1-3 @ 2.63% 0-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.52% Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.99% |