La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 27, 2021 at 1pm UK

Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country

Alaves
1 - 2
Celta Vigo

Joselu (21')
Duarte (32'), Lejeune (38'), Aguirregabiria (57')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Mina (11'), Aspas (70')
Mendez (50'), Tapia (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Alaves and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
25.9%	28.24%	45.85%

Both teams to score 43.54%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.17%

61.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.39%

81.61%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.66%

40.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.04%

76.95%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.98%

27.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.62%

62.37%

Score Analysis

Alaves 25.9%

Celta Vigo 45.85%

Draw 28.23%

Alaves	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 5.88% 2-0 @ 4.49% 3-1 @ 1.78% 3-0 @ 1.36% 3-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.33% Total : 25.9%	1-1 @ 12.94% 0-0 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.23%	0-1 @ 14.26% 0-2 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.47% 0-3 @ 4.07% 1-3 @ 3.7% 2-3 @ 1.68% 0-4 @ 1.33% 1-4 @ 1.21% Other @ 1.8% Total : 45.85%