La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 27, 2021 at 1pm UK
Mendizorroza, Vitoria, Basque Country
Alaves1 - 2Celta Vigo
We said: Alaves 2-2 Celta Vigo
Both Alaves and Celta Vigo will fancy their chances of securing all three points this weekend, though the visitors will head into this game with a slight psychological edge after winning each of the last three meetings. The two teams played out score draws in their last league matches, and with little to separate them here, another could be on the cards at the Mendizorroza. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.2% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.33%) and 1-2 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (9.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 25.9% | 28.24% | 45.85% |
| Both teams to score 43.54% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
