Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
| 28.74% | 28.7% | 42.56% |
| Both teams to score 44.07% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.97% | 62.03% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.24% | 81.76% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.96% | 38.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.19% | 74.81% |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.13% | 28.86% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.27% | 64.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Getafe |
| 1-0 @ 10.61% 2-1 @ 6.37% 2-0 @ 5.13% 3-1 @ 2.05% 3-0 @ 1.65% 3-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.65% Total : 28.74% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 10.97% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.57% Total : 28.68% | 0-1 @ 13.64% 0-2 @ 8.48% 1-2 @ 8.19% 0-3 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 3.39% 2-3 @ 1.64% 0-4 @ 1.09% 1-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.56% Total : 42.56% |