Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 61.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.08%) and 1-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 15.84% | 22.3% | 61.85% |
| Both teams to score 46.18% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% | 51.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% | 72.97% |
| Alaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55% | 45% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.06% | 80.93% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.96% | 16.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.61% | 45.39% |
| Score Analysis |
| Alaves | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 5.76% 2-1 @ 4.21% 2-0 @ 2.3% 3-1 @ 1.12% 3-2 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.42% Total : 15.84% | 1-1 @ 10.54% 0-0 @ 7.22% 2-2 @ 3.85% Other @ 0.69% Total : 22.3% | 0-1 @ 13.2% 0-2 @ 12.08% 1-2 @ 9.65% 0-3 @ 7.38% 1-3 @ 5.89% 0-4 @ 3.38% 1-4 @ 2.7% 2-3 @ 2.35% 0-5 @ 1.24% 2-4 @ 1.08% 1-5 @ 0.99% Other @ 1.92% Total : 61.84% |