Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.