Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 40.92%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 31.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 31.54% | 27.54% | 40.92% |
| Both teams to score 48.42% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.87% | 57.13% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22% | 78% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.72% | 33.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.1% | 69.89% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% | 27.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.09% | 62.9% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 10.04% 2-1 @ 7.15% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 2.62% 3-0 @ 2.03% 3-2 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.54% | 1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 9.13% 2-2 @ 4.62% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.54% | 0-1 @ 11.8% 1-2 @ 8.4% 0-2 @ 7.64% 1-3 @ 3.62% 0-3 @ 3.29% 2-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 1.17% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.92% Total : 40.91% |