Monaco

2 - 1

Real Sociedad

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.