Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Betis would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Betis | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 30.51% | 26.09% | 43.4% |
| Both teams to score 52.41% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.16% | 51.84% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.41% | 73.6% |
| Real Betis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.72% | 31.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.37% | 67.64% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.27% | 23.74% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.13% | 57.88% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Betis | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-1 @ 7.21% 2-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 2.79% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.94% Other @ 2.91% Total : 30.51% | 1-1 @ 12.41% 0-0 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 5.19% 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 10.67% 1-2 @ 8.92% 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 4.28% 0-3 @ 3.68% 2-3 @ 2.49% 1-4 @ 1.54% 0-4 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.39% |