Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.