La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 16

Dec 4, 2021 at 8pm UK

Estadio Anoeta

Real Sociedad
0 - 2
Real Madrid

Zubeldia (26'), Januzaj (60')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (47'), Jovic (57')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 54.89%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.69%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.65%), while for a Real Sociedad win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
20.44%	24.67%	54.89%

Both teams to score 47.41%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.2%

53.8%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.73%

75.27%

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93%

41.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38%

77.62%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.46%

19.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.56%

51.44%

Score Analysis

Real Sociedad 20.44%

Real Madrid 54.88%

Draw 24.66%

Real Sociedad	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 7.14% 2-1 @ 5.19% 2-0 @ 3.18% 3-1 @ 1.54% 3-2 @ 1.26% 3-0 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.2% Total : 20.44%	1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 8.02% 2-2 @ 4.24% Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 13.1% 0-2 @ 10.69% 1-2 @ 9.52% 0-3 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 5.18% 0-4 @ 2.38% 2-3 @ 2.31% 1-4 @ 2.12% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.88%