Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.86%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
| 43.86% | 25.3% | 30.83% |
| Both teams to score 55.1% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.59% | 48.41% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.45% | 70.54% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.96% | 22.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.63% | 55.37% |
| Villarreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.68% | 29.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.71% | 65.29% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
| 1-0 @ 9.77% 2-1 @ 9.07% 2-0 @ 7.39% 3-1 @ 4.57% 3-0 @ 3.73% 3-2 @ 2.8% 4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.41% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.33% Total : 43.86% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.46% 2-2 @ 5.56% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.31% | 0-1 @ 7.93% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 4.86% 1-3 @ 3.01% 2-3 @ 2.28% 0-3 @ 1.99% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.49% Total : 30.84% |