Villarreal vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.62%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.