Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 45.51% | 26.69% | 27.8% |
| Both teams to score 49.05% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.55% | 55.45% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.36% | 76.64% |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.7% | 24.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.33% | 58.67% |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.79% | 35.21% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.03% | 71.96% |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.5% | 1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.69% | 0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.8% |