Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 42.96%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 28.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Rayo Vallecano in this match.
Result | ||
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
42.96% | 28.84% | 28.19% |
Both teams to score 43.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% | 62.7% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.75% | 82.25% |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.03% | 28.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.13% | 64.86% |
Espanyol Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.13% | 38.87% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.4% | 75.59% |
Score Analysis |
Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Espanyol |
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 8.64% 2-1 @ 8.17% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 1.59% 4-0 @ 1.11% 4-1 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.53% Total : 42.95% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.26% 2-2 @ 3.86% Other @ 0.54% Total : 28.84% | 0-1 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 6.23% 0-2 @ 5.03% 1-3 @ 1.96% 0-3 @ 1.58% 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barcelona | 17 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 50 | 19 | 31 | 38 |
2 | Real Madrid | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 21 | 36 |
3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 35 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 32 |
5 | Villarreal | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 27 | 25 | 2 | 26 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 24 |
7 | Osasuna | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 24 |
8 | Mallorca | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 24 |
9 | GironaGirona | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 23 | -1 | 22 |
10 | Celta Vigo | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 21 |
11 | Real BetisBetis | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 21 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 19 |
13 | Sevilla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 19 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 18 |
15 | Getafe | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 16 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 18 | 27 | -9 | 15 |
17 | Leganes | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
18 | Espanyol | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 13 |
19 | Valencia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 22 | -9 | 10 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 16 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 34 | -23 | 9 |
> La Liga Full Table |