La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Dec 21, 2021 at 6pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
5 - 2
Alaves

Moreno (18', 88'), Dia (27', 76'), Pino (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Pons (44'), Joselu (65')
N'Diaye (45+1'), Calleja (45+1'), Lopez (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.87%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 15.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
62.87%	22.08%	15.05%

Both teams to score 45.09%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.36%

51.64%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.58%

73.42%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.13%

15.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.91%

45.09%

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.59%

46.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.97%

82.03%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 62.85%

Alaves 15.05%

Draw 22.07%

Villarreal	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 13.55% 2-0 @ 12.47% 2-1 @ 9.58% 3-0 @ 7.66% 3-1 @ 5.88% 4-0 @ 3.52% 4-1 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.26% 5-0 @ 1.3% 4-2 @ 1.04% 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.91% Total : 62.85%	1-1 @ 10.4% 0-0 @ 7.37% 2-2 @ 3.68% Other @ 0.63% Total : 22.07%	0-1 @ 5.66% 1-2 @ 4% 0-2 @ 2.17% 1-3 @ 1.02% 2-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.26% Total : 15.05%

How you voted: Villarreal vs Alaves

Villarreal

93.3%

Draw

3.7%

Alaves

3.1%