Real Madrid
0 - 2
Athletic Bilbao

Marcelino (51'), Garcia (77'), Alvarez (90')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Modric (38'), Benzema (52' pen.)
Militao (87')

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 58.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Real Madrid had a probability of 20.07%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.28%), while for a Real Madrid win it was 2-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
20.07%	21.89%	58.04%

Both teams to score 55.45%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.18%

42.82%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.77%

65.23%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.84%

35.16%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.09%

71.91%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.52%

14.48%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.54%

42.46%

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 20.07%

Athletic Bilbao 58.04%

Draw 21.89%

Real Madrid	Draw	Athletic Bilbao
2-1 @ 5.38% 1-0 @ 5.32% 2-0 @ 2.78% 3-1 @ 1.87% 3-2 @ 1.81% 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 1.94% Total : 20.07%	1-1 @ 10.28% 2-2 @ 5.19% 0-0 @ 5.09% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.16% Total : 21.89%	1-2 @ 9.94% 0-1 @ 9.84% 0-2 @ 9.51% 1-3 @ 6.4% 0-3 @ 6.12% 2-3 @ 3.35% 1-4 @ 3.09% 0-4 @ 2.96% 2-4 @ 1.62% 1-5 @ 1.2% 0-5 @ 1.14% Other @ 2.88% Total : 58.04%