Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 21.16%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.