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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.95%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Rayo Majadahonda had a probability of 18.52%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rayo Majadahonda win it was 1-0 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Majadahonda | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 18.52% | 25.53% | 55.95% |
| Both teams to score 42.33% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.99% | 59.01% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.52% | 79.48% |
| Rayo Majadahonda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.7% | 46.3% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.05% | 81.95% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.82% | 21.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.96% | 54.04% |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Majadahonda | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 7.55% 2-1 @ 4.51% 2-0 @ 2.91% 3-1 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.39% Total : 18.52% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 15.21% 0-2 @ 11.81% 1-2 @ 9.1% 0-3 @ 6.11% 1-3 @ 4.71% 0-4 @ 2.37% 1-4 @ 1.83% 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 3% Total : 55.94% |
How you voted: Majadahonda vs Atletico
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