La Liga Gameweek 19
Jan 2, 2022 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Giuliano Simeone 7' yellowcard
  • Luis Suarez 26' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 28' goal
  • Angel Correa 53' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 63' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 73' yellowcard

Atletico Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2021 6.00pm
Granada 2 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Angel Correa

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions
Last game
Dec 18, 2021 1.00pm
Rayo Vallecano 2 - 0 Alaves
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Sergi Guardiola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.72%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 19.04%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Rayo Vallecano win it was 0-1 (7.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atletico Madrid in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Atletico Madrid.

Result

Atletico Madrid 55.72%
Draw 25.25%
Rayo Vallecano 19.04%

Both Teams to Score: 

43.82%

Goals

Over 2.5 42.53%
Under 2.5 57.47%
Over 3.5 21.73%
Under 3.5 78.27%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 79.35%
Under 0.5 20.65%
Over 1.5 46.77%
Under 1.5 53.23%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5 55.22%
Under 0.5 44.78%
Over 1.5 19.24%
Under 1.5 80.76%

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 55.71%
Draw 25.25%
Rayo Vallecano 19.04%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 14.58%
2-0 @ 11.5%
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 6.05%
3-1 @ 4.86%
4-0 @ 2.39%
3-2 @ 1.95%
4-1 @ 1.92%
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 55.71%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.72%
0-0 @ 9.25%
2-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.25%
Rayo Vallecano
0-1 @ 7.43%
1-2 @ 4.71%
0-2 @ 2.99%
1-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 19.04%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 16, 2019 3.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Vallecas (Madrid)
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 74'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 90'
La Liga Gameweek 2
Aug 25, 2018 7.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Vicente Calderón (Madrid)
  • Antoine Griezmann 63' goal
  • Koke 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alvaro Garcia 29'
La Liga
Apr 30, 2016 5.15pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Antoine Griezmann 55' goal
  • Matias Kranevitter 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Bebe 35'
Copa del Rey
Jan 14, 2016 7.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Angel Correa 40' goal
  • Felipe Luis 61' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 80' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 91' goal
  • yellowcard Ze Castro 36'
Copa del Rey
Jan 6, 2016 9.05pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Miku 23' yellowcard
  • Nacho Martinez 35' goal
  • Jose Antonio Dorado 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Guilherme Siqueira 20'
  • yellowcard Fernando Torres 29'
  • goal Saul Niguez 67'
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 72'
  • yellowcard Thomas Teye 91'
La Liga
Dec 30, 2015 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Yoel Rodriguez 32' yellowcard
  • Ze Castro 80' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Fernando Torres 44'
  • yellowcard Jesus Gamez 72'
  • yellowcard Jose Gimenez 74'
  • goal Angel Correa 88'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 90'