La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio El Madrigal

Villarreal
2 - 2
Atletico

Torres (29'), Moreno (58')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Correa (10'), Kondogbia (67')
Kondogbia (71')
Kondogbia (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 40.41%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
40.41%	25.66%	33.93%

Both teams to score 55.03%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51%

49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.92%

71.08%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.02%

23.98%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.78%

58.22%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.39%

27.61%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.85%

63.15%

Score Analysis

Villarreal 40.41%

Atletico Madrid 33.93%

Draw 25.65%

Villarreal	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 9.46% 2-1 @ 8.69% 2-0 @ 6.75% 3-1 @ 4.14% 3-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 2.66% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.15% 4-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.41%	1-1 @ 12.16% 0-0 @ 6.62% 2-2 @ 5.59% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.65%	0-1 @ 8.52% 1-2 @ 7.83% 0-2 @ 5.48% 1-3 @ 3.36% 2-3 @ 2.4% 0-3 @ 2.35% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.91% Total : 33.93%