Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Levante had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 1-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.5%), while for a Levante win it was 1-2 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.