La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 20, 2021 at 8pm UK
Estadi Ciutat de Valencia
Levante3 - 4Valencia
We said: Levante 1-1 Valencia
Levante have shown improvement under their new manager, and Valencia will be missing some important players for this derby. If we had to pick a winner then it would be the visitors, but Levante have enjoyed a lot of success at home to their bitter rivals, and we have a feeling that this one could end all square. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 44.31%. A win for Levante had a probability of 27.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.6%). The likeliest Levante win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Levante | Draw | Valencia |
| 27.98% | 27.71% | 44.31% |
| Both teams to score 46.3% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
