Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 50.05%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Levante had a probability of 24.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.51%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Levante win it was 0-1 (7.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Espanyol would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Levante |
| 50.05% | 25.72% | 24.23% |
| Both teams to score 48.95% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.88% | 54.12% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.46% | 75.53% |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.35% | 21.65% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.22% | 54.78% |
| Levante Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% | 37.52% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.7% | 74.3% |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Levante |
| 1-0 @ 12.43% 2-0 @ 9.51% 2-1 @ 9.32% 3-0 @ 4.85% 3-1 @ 4.76% 3-2 @ 2.33% 4-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.82% Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.05% | 1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.12% 2-2 @ 4.57% Other @ 0.84% Total : 25.71% | 0-1 @ 7.96% 1-2 @ 5.97% 0-2 @ 3.9% 1-3 @ 1.95% 2-3 @ 1.49% 0-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.23% |