Sporting Gijon

2 - 1

Villarreal

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 43.11%. A win for Sporting Gijon had a probability of 31.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.12%). The likeliest Sporting Gijon win was 1-0 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.