Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 23.86% | 26.05% | 50.09% |
| Both teams to score 47.62% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.34% | 55.66% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.18% | 76.82% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.27% | 38.73% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.53% | 75.47% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% | 22.28% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.27% | 55.73% |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.86% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 12.95% 0-2 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-3 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.09% |