Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 50.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.73%) and 1-2 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-0 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
23.86% | 26.05% | 50.09% |
Both teams to score 47.62% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.34% | 55.66% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.18% | 76.82% |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.27% | 38.73% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.53% | 75.47% |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.72% | 22.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.27% | 55.73% |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
1-0 @ 8.18% 2-1 @ 5.83% 2-0 @ 3.88% 3-1 @ 1.84% 3-2 @ 1.38% 3-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.51% Total : 23.86% | 1-1 @ 12.28% 0-0 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 4.38% Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 12.95% 0-2 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 9.23% 0-3 @ 4.87% 1-3 @ 4.62% 2-3 @ 2.19% 0-4 @ 1.83% 1-4 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.94% Total : 50.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |