We said: Girona 2-1 Osasuna
An upset may be on the cards in this encounter in the Copa del Rey as second tier Girona enter this clash with more confidence than Osasuna given their recent results.
Girona will look to use their good home form, unbeaten in their last five matches on their own patch, and beat their La Liga opposition, also using confidence from scoring at least two goals in each of their last four home matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.05%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.61%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Girona in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Girona.
