Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (6.31%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (9.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 36.67% | 26.45% | 36.88% |
| Both teams to score 52.73% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.92% | 52.08% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.19% | 73.8% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% | 27.44% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.07% | 62.93% |
| Atletico Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.68% | 27.32% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.23% | 62.77% |
| Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad 36.67%
Atletico Madrid 36.88%
Draw 26.44%
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Atletico Madrid |
| 1-0 @ 9.7% 2-1 @ 8.13% 2-0 @ 6.27% 3-1 @ 3.51% 3-0 @ 2.7% 3-2 @ 2.27% 4-1 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.96% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 12.57% 0-0 @ 7.5% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 9.73% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 6.31% 1-3 @ 3.53% 0-3 @ 2.73% 2-3 @ 2.28% 1-4 @ 1.15% Other @ 2.99% Total : 36.88% |
How you voted: Real Sociedad vs Atletico
Real Sociedad
46.1%Draw
19.1%Atletico Madrid
34.8%115


