Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 36.67%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 35.77% | 27.56% | 36.67% |
| Both teams to score 49.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.43% | 56.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.45% | 77.55% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.83% | 30.17% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.68% | 66.32% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.39% | 29.61% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.35% | 65.64% |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% 2-1 @ 7.81% 2-0 @ 6.41% 3-1 @ 3.12% 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 8.93% 2-2 @ 4.75% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.55% | 0-1 @ 10.87% 1-2 @ 7.93% 0-2 @ 6.62% 1-3 @ 3.22% 0-3 @ 2.68% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.67% |