Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 45.87%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 26.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leganes | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 26.47% | 27.66% | 45.87% |
| Both teams to score 45.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.4% | 59.6% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.06% | 79.93% |
| Leganes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.41% | 38.58% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.67% | 75.33% |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% | 25.98% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39% | 60.99% |
| Score Analysis |
Leganes 26.47%
Real Sociedad 45.87%
Draw 27.65%
| Leganes | Draw | Real Sociedad |
| 1-0 @ 9.55% 2-1 @ 6.13% 2-0 @ 4.55% 3-1 @ 1.95% 3-0 @ 1.44% 3-2 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.55% Total : 26.47% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 4.13% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.65% | 0-1 @ 13.51% 0-2 @ 9.11% 1-2 @ 8.67% 0-3 @ 4.09% 1-3 @ 3.9% 2-3 @ 1.86% 0-4 @ 1.38% 1-4 @ 1.31% Other @ 2.05% Total : 45.87% |
How you voted: Leganes vs Real Sociedad
Leganes
14.0%Draw
9.3%Real Sociedad
76.7%86


