Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 32.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
| 40.55% | 26.78% | 32.67% |
| Both teams to score 51.06% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.05% | 53.95% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.6% | 75.39% |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.85% | 26.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.78% | 61.22% |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.13% | 30.87% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.85% | 67.15% |
| Score Analysis |
| Celta Vigo | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.82% 2-1 @ 8.54% 2-0 @ 7.26% 3-1 @ 3.82% 3-0 @ 3.25% 3-2 @ 2.24% 4-1 @ 1.28% 4-0 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.24% Total : 40.54% | 1-1 @ 12.72% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.02% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.78% | 0-1 @ 9.49% 1-2 @ 7.48% 0-2 @ 5.58% 1-3 @ 2.93% 0-3 @ 2.19% 2-3 @ 1.97% Other @ 3.05% Total : 32.67% |